Person Judson Welcher Trial 2Judson Welcher is a forensic engineer and accident reconstructionist with Aperture LLC who testified in Trial 2 that the Lexus data and damage were consistent with a collision, with tail-light damage consistent if the impact exceeded approximately 8 mph, and that O’Keefe’s injuries were consistent with being struck by a physically identical Lexus and contacting frozen ground. The court ruled that he could not testify that Read’s specific Lexus collided with O’Keefe. ← All People
🔬 Expert Witness · Aperture LLC

Judson Welcher

Trial 2
1,382 lines 9 proceedings
Courtroom still of Judson Welcher.

About

Judson Welcher is a forensic engineer and accident reconstructionist with more than 30 years of experience and ACTAR accreditation, hired by the Commonwealth through Aperture LLC. His Trial 2 testimony covered vehicle data, photogrammetry, impact biomechanics, and tail-light damage. He testified that Read's vehicle data and damage were consistent with a collision at about 12:32 a.m. and, separately, that O'Keefe's injuries were consistent with being struck by a physically identical Lexus and then contacting a hard surface. He said an impact above approximately 8 miles per hour would likely break the tail-light lens; the court did not permit him to opine that Read's specific Lexus collided with O'Keefe, leaving that as a prosecution theory or jury inference.

Key Points

  • Before Welcher took the stand before the jury, defense attorney Alessi used a voir dire examination to establish that prosecutor Brennan had initiated last-minute changes to Welcher's PowerPoint presentation during the active trial — a moment that framed the independence of his analysis as a contested issue from the outset.
  • Welcher presented Toyota TechStream data showing two triggering events, including a second event with 34 feet of forward travel followed by 53 feet in reverse. The Commonwealth used that event with the physical damage and testing to support its collision theory; Welcher's admitted opinion was that the data and damage were consistent with a collision, not that the event established Read's Lexus struck O'Keefe.
  • Using exemplar tail-light geometry and pedestrian-impact testing, Welcher testified that the location and orientation of lacerations on O'Keefe's right forearm were consistent with the geometry and orientation of the right tail light on a 2021 Lexus LX 570.
  • During cross-examination, Alessi revealed that Welcher had performed detailed force calculations for the head injury — arriving at 7,200 pounds — but had performed zero comparable force calculations for the arm injuries, which Welcher argued were the primary mechanism of contact.
  • In the final recross, Alessi established that Welcher could not point to a single documented moment where he tested or recorded an alternative hypothesis of no contact between the Lexus and O'Keefe, undercutting his stated null-hypothesis methodology despite his claims of starting from a neutral position.

Trial Record (9)

Trial 2 Retrial Apr 22, 2025 – Jun 18, 2025 9 proceedings

Day 21

Voir Dire Judson Welcher Robert Alessi 3 highlights 47 lines spoken
Summary

Defense attorney Alessi questions prosecution expert Judson Welcher about last-minute changes to his PowerPoint presentation and their impact on the collision timeline.

Highlights (3)
Quote

“Mr. Brennan.”

Welcher identifies Brennan as the person who suggested unspecified presentation changes. He gave deletion of a slide referencing testimony he was not allowed to include as an example.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Quote

“I wouldn't say it's insignificant. Again, I haven't modified my PowerPoint at all. I was happy with the data I had and satisfied with the data I had. Again, once presented — as an engineer would — with better data, we use better data.”

Welcher frames the change as standard engineering practice while conceding it is not insignificant.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Quote

“You do.”

Welcher agrees with the timing sequence posed by Alessi: under the revised range, part falls after the device lock. Elsewhere, Welcher disputed that the change was consequential and maintained the original timing was within measurement variance.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Direct Judson Welcher Hank Brennan 5 highlights 401 lines spoken
Summary

Prosecution expert Judson Welcher presents accident reconstruction and biomechanical analysis, including vehicle data, photogrammetric analysis of Ring doorbell video, arm-laceration consistency with Lexus tail-light geometry, and hard-surface fall fracture tolerance; his ultimate opinion that Read's Lexus struck O'Keefe was stricken.

Highlights (5)
Quote

“I have no dog in this fight. I don't, quite frankly, care. What I'm doing is trying to do a good engineering job, which is looking at the data and drawing sound principles and sound conclusions from the data.”

Welcher establishes his claimed objectivity and data-driven methodology for the jury.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Quote

“So from the maximum point it pulled forward to where it backed up again — that was 34 feet forward, then a total of 53 back, total travel distance of 87 feet. So went all the way forward where it stopped. It then backed up 87 feet. And when the Techstream data stopped, it's still moving. It is still moving about 23 miles an hour, and you're still at 74% throttle and 3,300 revolutions per minute on the tachometer RPM gauge.”

Key finding about the second triggering event — the Lexus was accelerating rapidly in reverse when the data window ended.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Quote

“The location and orientation of the laceration on John O'Keefe's right forearm and arm are consistent with the geometry and orientation of the right tail light of the Read 2021 Lexus LX 570.”

Welcher testified that the right-arm laceration location and orientation were consistent with the right tail light's geometry and orientation.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Show 1 more
Quote

“What the data is showing is that even at a fall height as low as 40 inches onto a hard surface, you can get fairly severe skull fractures.”

Welcher testified that hard-surface falls as low as 40 inches can produce severe skull fractures.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶

Day 22

Direct Judson Welcher Hank Brennan 4 highlights 31 lines spoken
Summary

Welcher concludes direct examination with opinions that tail light damage is consistent with a collision if the impact was greater than approximately 8 mph, and that O'Keefe's injuries are consistent with being struck by a Lexus and contacting a hard surface such as frozen ground.

Highlights (4)
Quote

“It is consistent with a collision as long as it's greater than approximately 8 miles an hour.”

States the greater-than-approximately-8-mph condition for his consistency opinion.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Quote

“That it is consistent with being struck by a Lexus and ultimately contacting a hard surface such as frozen ground.”

Core prosecution opinion linking O'Keefe's injuries to a vehicle strike followed by ground impact.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Quote

“So, when you have glancing contacts, you can have much higher speeds without a lot of damage to the car because you're only in momentary contact and it's a glancing type hit.”

Explains the biomechanical basis for limited vehicle damage despite a potentially injurious impact.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Quote

“Yes, you could definitely have this type of impact and not have anything beyond, say, red marks to the lower extremity.”

Directly addresses the defense argument that absence of leg fractures undermines the vehicle-strike theory.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Cross Judson Welcher Robert Alessi 4 highlights 651 lines spoken
Summary

Defense attorney Robert Alessi cross-examines prosecution expert Dr. Judson Welcher, challenging his methodology, potential confirmation bias, the absence of force calculations for the arm injuries, and the financial relationship between his firm Aperture and the Commonwealth.

Highlights (4)
Quote

“I don't quite frankly care whether it's new or not. I just care what's in the data. Whether it's new, old, I don't care. It's not relevant to what I'm doing.”

Welcher dismisses concern about Burgess's mid-trial amended report, which Alessi uses to suggest the prosecution team was generating new analysis during trial.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Quote

“I have certainly done amended analysis. Only certain courts and certain legal systems require reports. But for example, rebuttal — analyzing testimony that comes up in court, getting trial transcripts — I very frequently have come up with new analysis during the trial.”

Welcher distinguishes amended analysis from amended reports but cannot cite a single case where he submitted an amended report mid-trial.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Quote

“Correct. We don't have that level of certainty. We have that the height and geometry matches.”

Welcher concedes he cannot say with certainty that O'Keefe's head was positioned to be struck by the spoiler, undermining the eye laceration theory.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Quote

“We don't have enough information to determine that.”

Welcher admits he cannot determine how long the arm needed to maintain contact with the tail light to produce the observed wounds — a core gap in the prosecution's injury mechanism theory.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Redirect Judson Welcher Hank Brennan 3 highlights 13 lines spoken
Summary

On brief redirect, Brennan elicited that Welcher did not use Trooper Paul's report or conclusions and used a photograph only as a demonstrative. Welcher also distinguished the autopsy information he considered—injury descriptions and blood, trauma, and hypothermia—from Scordi-Bello's accident, undetermined, or homicide conclusions.

Highlights (3)
Quote

“I did not use his report at all. It was simply limited to the use of the photo to show a different demonstrative issue.”

Directly rebuts the cross-examination suggestion that Welcher borrowed from Trooper Paul's work.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Quote

“No, I wouldn't take a person like that — opinion for that.”

Welcher distances himself from the medical examiner's cause-of-death conclusions, asserting that biomechanical analysis requires different expertise.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Recross Judson Welcher Robert Alessi 2 highlights 5 lines spoken
Summary

On recross, defense attorney Alessi confirms that Welcher considered selected highlighted portions of Dr. Scordi-Bello's final diagnosis in the autopsy report; Welcher maintains that cause and manner of death were separate from those portions.

Highlights (2)
Quote

“The important things that I was looking at are the underlined or highlighted, which is why I highlighted them.”

Welcher explained that he considered the underlined or highlighted final-diagnosis findings while distinguishing them from the separately listed cause and manner of death.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Quote

“Correct.”

Confirms that Welcher considered the highlighted portions of the autopsy report; he had distinguished those portions from cause and manner of death.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶

Day 23

Cross Judson Welcher Robert Alessi 4 highlights 207 lines spoken
Summary

Defense attorney Alessi continues cross-examination of prosecution expert Welcher, challenging his photogrammetry methodology, Ring camera analysis, vehicle suspension measurements, and the significance of TechStream vehicle data.

Highlights (4)
Quote

“Nope. But we have videos from both of them and scans of the scene.”

Welcher concedes he doesn't have the model numbers for either Ring camera used in his photogrammetry analysis.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Quote

“I don't know. We were matching the photos. So I don't care what the numbers are. I care that the height is the same.”

Welcher explains that his method was photo-height matching rather than reliance on a suspension-setting number; the exchange also leaves the January 29 setting unknown and the source photographs two days later.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Quote

“No, the impact didn't register the event. As I pointed out, the trigger — the trigger was from when the accelerator pedal went to 30%... So, the TechStream will never register an event even if you hit a wall at 100 miles an hour — necessarily.”

Critical concession that TechStream data cannot confirm a collision occurred — it only records acceleration/braking events, not impacts.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Redirect Judson Welcher Hank Brennan 4 highlights 14 lines spoken
Summary

Prosecutor Brennan conducts redirect of Dr. Welcher addressing camera replacement, suspension, force distribution, encrypted communications, and confirmation bias challenges raised during cross.

Highlights (4)
Quote

“Absolutely not. It would have shown up as increased error when we overlaid the point clouds onto the photos— or the point clouds onto the video. If it was an error, it would have showed an error.”

Directly addresses the camera replacement challenge — Welcher explains the methodology has a built-in error check

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Quote

“So when you look at the failure loads, it depends on what you're doing it with. If I hit you with a 5-lb 2x4 or a 5-lb pillow, they're both 5 lb, but you'd much rather get hit by the pillow than the 2x4.”

Welcher reframes the force calculation challenge by explaining distributed vs concentrated loads, undermining the bone fracture threshold numbers from cross

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Quote

“No. Again, these are direct readings from the vehicle. Again, that speed on this here— you have to correct for the slippage, which I do later on the slide, but that is a direct reading from what the speedometer is seeing.”

Welcher characterizes the displayed reported speed as a direct vehicle reading, while noting that it requires a later slippage correction; the testimony concerns the raw reading rather than whether a collision occurred or the broader analysis.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶
Recross Judson Welcher Robert Alessi 2 highlights 10 lines spoken
Summary

Defense attorney Alessi conducts a brief recross challenging Welcher's confirmation-bias defense by establishing that Welcher could not identify a slide or document presented to the jury expressly showing the alternative hypothesis of no contact between the Lexus and O'Keefe.

Highlights (2)
Quote

“So theoretically, my confirmation bias starts with a bias that it didn't happen.”

Welcher's attempt to defend his methodology by invoking a null-hypothesis approach; he later says he did not include everything in the presentation and answers no when asked whether a slide or document presented to the jury expressly showed the no-contact alternative.

Open in transcript → Watch this moment ▶

Locations Touched By This Testimony